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Hedge 1.8.2 [VERIFIED] Crack
Hedge 1.8.2 Crack
Because of the highly leveraged nature of the price settlement of futures contracts, the futures markets are even more sensitive to volatility and can be used to hedge major price changes in a given commodities market. Using the RBOB gasoline futures contract and the 3:2:1 crack spread as an example, consider the following three scenarios:
1. When the price of gasoline rises from $7.55 to $10.00 in the next month. The potential gasoline margin generated by this $5.00 increase is $14.20 per barrel. This provides a strong speculative playing field for a crack spread trader to enter the market and profit from the spread.
Crack spreads are popular instruments to hedge the risk of dollar and other currency-based oil price changes. Physical oil traders often refer to the crack spread as a currency hedge because it helps them offset the risks associated with their being long the spot crude oil prices in a foreign currency and hedging the risks by being short the exchange-traded product. Price changes in these derivatives occur in USD terms. But the U.S. currency is the world’s reserve currency. Hence, when a crack spread is referenced in a trade, the hedger is really trading USD. However, when the crack spread is quoted in currency-denominated terms, it is, effectively, a price of crude oil in a foreign currency. Crude oil prices can fall when foreign currencies strengthen against the dollar. Conversely, they can rise when foreign currencies weaken, i.e., the dollar strengthens. The crack spread that is quoted in foreign currency-denominated terms is a reference to the net price of oil in that currency.
The foreign language for a crack spread is “crack spread”. The crack spread contract is a futures contract in which the buyer pays the seller a premium that is fixed and expressed in dollars for every barrel of crude oil sold. The difference between the price paid for the oil and the price received by the buyer is called the crack spread. For example, if a refiner buys one contract of crude oil for $45 per barrel and sells two contracts of gasoline for $52.50 per barrel, the crack spread in this case would be $7.50 per barrel. In the contract, $7.50 is added to the price of each barrel of crude oil, resulting in a total spread of $52.50 per barrel. This is the case when the crack spread is quoted in dollars.
For an example of crack spreads that are quoted in foreign currency-denominated terms, think of the price of crude oil expressed in Canadian dollars. Since the U.S. dollar is the world’s reserve currency, the USD price of crude oil quoted in Canadian dollars may be, effectively, a price of crude oil in Canadian dollars. But the product itself is really priced in U.S. dollars. If, for example, the price of crude oil quoted in Canadian dollars is $90 per barrel, then the crude oil that a trader is buying is actually selling at a price of $100 per barrel. This is because the USD price of crude oil quoted in Canadian dollars is effectively a price of crude oil in Canadian dollars.
Because of this, trading in a crack spread is more akin to selling a call option than to buying a put option. The trader sells a U.S. dollar option to buy crude oil and buys, or goes long, a U.S. dollar option to sell crude oil. But, in a crack spread, the trader is not selling a “call” option and instead is buying a “put” option. The seller has the obligation to buy oil from the buyer at a price set by the crack. The seller is also obligated to purchase a specified quantity of oil at that price and to deliver it to the buyer. But, if the price of oil rises, the seller can be obligated to buy much more oil or pay cash instead of oil. The crack spread is similar to selling a put option, except that the contract will expire when the price of crude oil hits the price of a U.S.
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